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Goldman Sachs Warns of Heightened Stock Market Correction Risk Amid Economic Uncertainty
Goldman Sachs Warns of Heightened Stock Market Correction Risk Amid Economic Uncertainty
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BTCCSquare news:
Goldman Sachs analysts have flagged increased vulnerability in equity markets, with their proprietary equity asymmetry framework signaling a >10% probability of a S&P 500 drawdown within three months. The model, which evaluates market conditions against macroeconomic data, now shows the highest correction risk since January's volatility spike.
The CBOE Volatility Index's 70% plunge from January peaks contrasts sharply with current retail trading enthusiasm—a discrepancy highlighted by Goldman's Pasquariello. Historical patterns suggest such sentiment extremes often precede pullbacks, with the framework indicating >20% odds of a downturn within twelve months.
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